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Big technology earnings this week could offer a much-needed catalyst for a market under pressure. Last week, the S & P 500 and Nasdaq Composite notched their longest daily losing streaks since October 2022, with the broad index posting its worst week since March 2022. Big Tech's performance this week could set the tone for the rest of earnings season and revive the market momentum. Tesla Tesla launches the reporting period for the "Magnificent Seven" stocks, with results due out after the bell Tuesday. Meta Platforms Meta Platforms ' results are due out after the bell Wednesday.
Persons: Tesla, Elon Musk, John Murphy, Longtime Deutsche Bank Tesla, Emmanuel Rosner, Brent Thill, Bernstein, Mark Shmulik, Doug Anmuth, Justin Post, Goldman Sachs, Eric Sheridan, Jefferies, Bernstein's, Wells Fargo's Michael Turrin, Piper Sandler's Brent Bracelin, Kash Rangan, Brad Zelnick, OpenAI, Satya Nadella Organizations: Federal Reserve, Nasdaq, Tesla Tesla, Bank of America, Barclays, Longtime Deutsche Bank, Microsoft, Deutsche, NVIDIA Locations: China
As the busiest week for first quarter earnings results kicks off, several stocks on the docket to report this week may be poised for big swings. As of last Friday, 74% of companies in the S & P 500 reported a positive earnings surprise while 58% beat revenue expectations, according to FactSet. This week is scheduled to be the busiest one of the season, with 29% of companies in the S & P 500 — or 146 companies — due to post results. With so many corporate results to be released this week, investors may want to pay special attention to some earnings more than others in advance. CNBC Pro screened for the stocks that could see significant post-earnings moves either up or down, based on investors' expectations in the options market.
Persons: AllianceBernstein, Mark Shmulik, Shmulik, Jamie Baker, Morgan Stanley, Benjamin Swinburne Organizations: Dow Jones, CNBC Pro, JetBlue, American Airlines, JPMorgan, Spotify Locations: Stockholm
Search versus SGESince December, Business Insider has plugged the same queries into Google's traditional search engine and its generative AI version to see how information is presented differently. Mark Mahaney, a top internet analyst at ISI Evercore, has been testing SGE alongside generative AI rivals like Perplexity and OpenAI's ChatGPT. Ray has spotted answers in SGE results that are not sourced from websites that rank in the top 100 positions for that query in traditional Search results. Neither query produced any sort of generative AI response — although a search for "common cold" did. They've already got billions of people using Chrome and using Google search," Shmulik told BI.
Persons: It's, Mark Mahaney, Mahaney, SGE, Adweek, Alan Antin, Google's SGE, Gaga's, Gaga, Tiffany, Kali Hays, Google's, Sundar Pichai, Lily Ray, Ray, Mark Shmulik, Bernstein, Susan Orlean, Evercore's Mahoney, we're, Bernstein's, Shmulik, he's, ChatGPT Organizations: Google, Business, Microsoft, Gartner, ISI, New York Magazine, BI, GitHub, LinkedIn, SGE, Bing Locations: SGE, OpenAI
The slip-up was so bad it sent the company's stock tumbling, and had CEO Sundar Pichai address the troops, calling the situation "completely unacceptable." The debacle has strengthened the narrative that Google is suddenly behind in the AI race, and now there's a growing chorus of voices calling for CEO Sundar Pichai to be replaced. Pichai, who was appointed CEO of Google in 2015, and Alphabet in 2019, has proven a strong peace-time CEO for the company. He's been an effective and steady hand who protects Google's prized search business and deals diplomatically with regulators. Responding to a tweet by Color Health CEO Othman Laraki, who said Google as facing an "unsolvable problem," Mayer defended Google somewhat.
Persons: , Sundar Pichai, Ben Thompson, Googlers, Mark Shmulik, chatbot, He's, Pichai, Aravind Srinivas, Sundar, Srinivas, Marissa, Marissa Mayer, Othman Laraki, Mayer, They've, Hugh Langley Organizations: Service, Google, Business, Color, Gartner Locations: Silicon Valley
The Google Gemini conspiracy theory
  + stars: | 2024-02-28 | by ( Alistair Barr | ) www.businessinsider.com   time to read: +4 min
Google had to pull parts of its fancy Gemini AI model after it spat out inaccurate images and text. To catch you up: Google had to pull part of its fancy new Gemini AI model after it spat out inaccurate pictures, including depicting Google cofounders Larry Page and Sergey Brin as Asian. One theory is that Googlers are too woke and their biases have infected what could be a powerful and useful AI model. AdvertisementIs this Google future? Probably not as profitable revenue as Google Search, but that's still a lot.
Persons: , there's, Larry Page, Sergey Brin, it's, Mark Shmulik, Bernstein, Sundar Pichai, Pichai, that's Organizations: Google, Service
Elsewhere, Bank of America raised its price target on Nvidia, calling for more than 25% upside. 7:07 a.m.: Deutsche Bank deals latest blow to regional bank after earnings disappoint Deutsche Bank joined the post-earnings dogpile on New York Community Bank . Analyst Bernard von-Gizycki downgraded the regional bank to hold from buy and slashed to price target to $7 from $15. Analyst Alicia Yap upgraded the consumer internet stock to buy from neutral and raised her price target by $6 to $50. — Alex Harring 5:45 a.m.: Bank of America hikes Nvidia price target Don't expect Nvidia to lose momentum anytime soon, according to Bank of America.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Bernard von, Gizycki, — Alex Harring, There's, Alicia Yap, Sea's, Shopee, Alex Harring, what's, Tim Cook, Brandon Nispel, AAPL's, AAPL, Morgan Stanley, Erik Woodring, we're, Tim Long, Piper Sandler, Harsh Kumar, Meta, Ross Sandler, Benjamin Black, Mark Kelley, Bernstein, Mark Shmulik, LSEG, Rufus, Eric Sheridan, Brian Nowak, outsized, Brad Erickson, Vivek Arya, Fred Imbert Organizations: CNBC, Apple, Bank of America, Nvidia, Deutsche Bank, New York Community Bank, von, Investors, Traders, Citi, Nasdaq, Conference, Barclays, Vision, Meta, Wall Street, Amazon, RBC Capital, Enterprise, SAP, VMWare, Dell Locations: Wall, New, Thursday's, Friday's premarket, China, genAI, CY25
For Amazon, AWS is more important than ever. Targets missedAWS is falling short of reaching sales goals in its startups and small-business segments, two employees told BI. Burnout and attritionSeveral AWS employees also pointed to high turnover as a major point of concern. AWS employees told BI it still remains to be seen how all these changes will manifest in the months to come. "The most significant single sentiment we feel is uncertainty," one of the AWS employees told BI.
Persons: Matt Garman, Garman, Mark Shmulik, Bernstein, Rob Munoz, Munoz, Charlie Bell, Rachel Thornton, Chris Vonderhaar, Peter DeSantis, DeSantis, Andy Jassy Mike Blake, AWS's, Prasad Kalyanaraman, Kalyanaraman, Amazon's, Bard, Adam Selipsky, Adam Selipsky Noah Berger, Selipsky, Andy Jassy, Jeff Bezos, Jassy, Geekwire Organizations: Amazon Web, AWS, Business, Amazon, SMB, Enterprise, Reuters, Microsoft, Google, BI Locations: Las Vegas, AMZN's, billings
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailTemu's spending this past quarter could be north of one billion dollars, Bernstein’s Mark ShmulikMark Shmulik, Bernstein lead internet analyst, joins 'The Exchange' to discuss the rise of Temu, the impact of new Chinese fashion apps more broadly, and more.
Persons: Mark Shmulik Mark Shmulik, Bernstein
A Pinterest logo is seen on a smartphone in this illustration taken October 20, 2021. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration Acquire Licensing RightsOct 31 (Reuters) - Shares of Pinterest (PINS.N) surged 17% on Tuesday after a strong quarterly performance indicated that the image-sharing platform was riding a rebound in the advertising market and making inroads among the lucrative Gen Z. "Take the strong engagement trends as a sign that Pinterest may have found product-market fit with younger users which keeps the flywheel going," Bernstein analyst Mark Shmulik said. At least 19 analysts raised their price targets on the stock, boosting the median to $35, per LSEG data. Shares were up 17% at $29.43, and the company was on track to add nearly $3 billion in market value if the gains held.
Persons: Dado Ruvic, Bernstein, Mark Shmulik, Schmulik, Samrhitha, Sriraj Organizations: REUTERS, Z, Wall Street, Meta, Google, Thomson Locations: Bengaluru
Wall Street analysts are standing by Meta Platforms despite the post-earnings sell-off, with some recommending using the pullback to scoop up the stock. "Let's be clear, there's still a lot to get excited about," said Bernstein analyst Mark Shmulik. META 1D mountain Meta shares slump post-earnings Shares were last down about 4%. "We believe Meta continues to execute well & remains disciplined, and we would be buying the pullback in Meta shares," said JPMorgan's Doug Anmuth. "While all advertising may be impacted by geopolitical activity, advertising allocation remains a relative game and we believe META's differentiation gap is widening vs most peers," he said.
Persons: Bernstein, Mark Shmulik, Meta, Doug Anmuth, Ronald Josey, Evercore, Mark Mahaney, Ross Sandler, Morgan Stanley's Brian Nowak, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Meta, Facebook, Wall Street, Tech, Barclays
Alphabet's latest quarterly results left some analysts questioning whether investors should be buying the dominant search engine right now, or opting instead for some of its tech peers. "If you own the stock, the bad news is probably out of the way," said Bernstein analyst Mark Shmulik. We take up our ad revenue estimates, pull cloud and margins down, and we end up right back where we started." Profit margins contracted and the company also said it expects capital spending to increase in the fourth quarter and in 2024. Alphabet sank 9.8% in midday trading Wednesday, on pace for its worst one-day decline since March 2020.
Persons: Bernstein, Mark Shmulik, Wells, Ken Gawrelski, Lloyd Walmsley, Gawrelski, Bank of America's Justin Post, James Lee, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Google, Microsoft, UBS, Bank of America's
Big technology stocks may surprise to the upside when they report results in coming days. But even a better-than-expected quarter and companies' improved earnings and revenue forecasts may not be enough to save the market from its recent reversal, according to some professional investors. That continues Tuesday with results from Alphabet and Microsoft , followed by Meta Platforms on Wednesday and Amazon Thursday, all after the market closes. The earnings setup Heading into the earnings, many companies face easier comparisons over last year. Of the largest tech stocks, Meta Platforms is expected to show rapid revenue growth acceleration, at 21%.
Persons: Adam Sarhan, there's, Ken Mahoney, bode, Gene Munster, Bernstein's Mark Shmulik, Nvidia, Munster, Sarhan Organizations: Investments, Big Tech, Netflix, Microsoft, Meta, Federal, Asset Management, Federal Reserve Locations: what's, East, Europe
When the summer began, ChatGPT traffic suddenly fell. One hypothesis stood out: Millions of students went on summer break, so they didn't need ChatGPT to cheat — er, I mean research. Back when summer began, online search interest in Minecraft jumped, while ChatGPT interest declined. Mark Shmulik, a top internet analyst at Bernstein, made this point at the start of the summer, when usage fell. "This idea that if the ChatGPT drop-off is due to students on summer break, that implies a narrower audience and fewer use cases."
Persons: ChatGPT, OpenAI's, they're, François, Mark Shmulik, Bernstein, OpenAI, Shakespeare Organizations: Service, Google Locations: Wall, Silicon, Minecraft
While some professors have embraced it as a tool, others are finding ways to fight its use. Concerned professors told Insider they plan to go back to handwritten assignments and oral exams to avoid the use of generative AI. "I'm planning on going medieval on the students and going all the way back to oral exams," Christopher Bartel, a philosophy professor at Appalachian State University, told Insider in January. "If it's school kids, that's a real yellow-red flag on the size of the prize," internet analyst Mark Shmulik told Insider. "This idea that if the ChatGPT drop-off is due to students on summer break, that implies a narrower audience and fewer use cases."
Persons: Fortune, Krebs, Bill Hart, Davidson, Christopher Bartel, Mark Shmulik Organizations: Harvard, Michigan State University's College of Arts and, Appalachian State University, Fox News, OpenAI
The strange, improbable rise of Mark Zuckerberg 3.0
  + stars: | 2023-07-30 | by ( Kali Hays | ) www.businessinsider.com   time to read: +27 min
In early July, Mark Zuckerberg unveiled the latest and perhaps most consequential product in Meta's history: a new model of Mark Zuckerberg. Silicon Valley Zuck was a husband and father with a legacy to build and protect at all costs. Silicon Valley Zuck was suddenly faced with something he'd never dealt with before, shrinking revenue. Still clinging to his persona as Silicon Valley Zuck, Zuckerberg engaged in an all-out media blitz to hawk his vision for the metaverse. They were the sort of people Harvard Zuck would have scoffed at and Silicon Valley Zuck would have gently ignored.
Persons: Mark Zuckerberg, Elon Musk, Joe Rogan, Zuckerberg, Clark Kent, TikTok, Sheryl Sandberg, Mike Schroepfer, Wall, McKinsey Zuck, Rogan, Meta, Harvard Zuck, , Priscilla Chan, Ray's, pullover, Harvard Zuck —, Dianna, Mick, McDougall, Paul Sakuma, Zuckerberg's, Apple, Facebook, he'd, That's, Frances Haugen, Chris Cox, Zuck, Zach Gibson, Meta's, Sandberg, Marne Levine, who'd, Javier Olivan, he's, bode, Bain, Maher Saba, Lori Goler, He's, He'd, Katie Harbath, it's, Andrew Bosworth, Bosworth, Mark Zuckerberg McKinsey Zuck, Mark Shmulik, Bernstein, Augustus, Julius Caesar, Kali Hays Organizations: Meta, Menlo, Harvard, Apple, McKinsey, Business, Facebook, Cambridge, Capitol, Labs, Menlo Park, Q, Bain & Company, Reality Labs, Wall, Mark Zuckerberg McKinsey, Phillips Exeter Academy, Tech, Twitter Locations: California, Hawaii, United States, Davos, Silicon, contrition, Meta, verbiage, Harvard, Rome
While Meta's 12% rise in second-quarter ad revenue surpassed the 3% growth at Alphabet's Google, earnings reports from both the digital ad behemoths reinforced a recovery in the sector. Smaller rival Snap (SNAP.N), however, disappointed on ad sales as advertisers stick to tried and true platforms. CEO Mark Zuckerberg said Reels now has an annual revenue run rate exceeding $10 billion, up from $3 billion last fall. Unsurprisingly, Reels monetization keeps improving," said Morningstar analyst Ali Mogharabi. "There is an element of uncertainty in CapEx spending growth for 2024.
Persons: Mark Shmulik, Bernstein, Mark Zuckerberg, Ali Mogharabi, Mark Mahaney, Aditya Soni, Saumyadeb Organizations: Google, Meta, Reuters Graphics, Evercore ISI, Thomson Locations: Bengaluru
Microsoft is set to shed about $100 billion from its market capitalization if the loses hold until close of trading. "The tech earnings season has started on a mixed note," said Mark Haefele, global wealth management chief investment officer at UBS in a client note. "The tone set by quarterly results over the next week will be crucial to the performance of tech stocks through the rest of the third quarter." Large tech companies, which rely heavily on borrowed money, have been pressured since the Fed started its tightening cycle to tame inflation. However, optimism over AI and hopes that the Fed is nearing the end of its rate hiking cycle have supported tech stocks in recent months.
Persons: Lucy Nicholson, Paul Nolte, Murphy, Sylvest, Mark Haefele, Wall, Stuart Cole, Bernstein, Mark Shmulik, Meta, enviously, Shmulik, Shreyashi Sanyal, Amruta, Lucy Raitano, Johann M Cherian, Amanda Cooper, Saumyadeb Organizations: Los Angeles , California U.S, REUTERS, Microsoft, Google, UBS, Apple Inc, Amazon.com Inc, Fed, Equiti, Federal Trade Commission, Amazon, Inc, Facebook, Thomson Locations: Los Angeles , California, U.S, HK, Bengaluru, London
Big tech companies have been trying to keep a lid on spending plans. 2023 was supposed to be the year of austerity for Big Tech. So how can these tech giants be keeping a lid on spending, while Nvidia sales are surging? And the expectation is that Big Tech is going back to splurging again. That will be driven by a 31% jump in technical infrastructure spending this year, and a 15% increase next year.
Persons: Mark Shmulik, Morgan Stanley, ROIC Organizations: Big, Nvidia, Morning, Big Tech, Google, Meta, Microsoft, Bernstein Research Locations: splurging
ChatGPT usage recently fell. If that's the reason, it's a bad sign for OpenAI and AI-powered chatbots. ChatGPT usage has fallen. Churn rates, which measure the percentage of users who stop engaging with a service, have also spiked into the 20% range for ChatGPT, according to Bernstein Research. "This idea that if the ChatGPT drop-off is due to students on summer break, that implies a narrower audience and fewer use cases."
Persons: ChatGPT Bernstein, ChatGPT, Mark Shmulik, Bernstein, Shmulik, It's, chatbots, OpenAI, Garry Tan Organizations: Morning, Bernstein Research, ChatGPT Bernstein Research, Microsoft, Enterprise, insider.com Locations: OpenAI, Silicon Valley
It's time to move to the sidelines on Alphabet as competition ramps up, according to Bernstein. GOOGL YTD mountain Alphabet stock has added more than 31% this year. "Google's aggressive push to integrate Gen AI into core search results could create a near-term air pocket on search ad pricing," he noted. "To many investors (and sell-siders), Google's stock is akin to a warm hug," Shmulik said. "Yet every so often Google's stock appears fairly valued just as it does today, with a balanced risk/reward and narrative that has quickly caught up to fundamentals, driving Google's stock up +40% from November lows.
Persons: Bernstein, Mark Shmulik, Shmulik, Michael Bloom Organizations: UBS Locations: Meta
TikTok is testing a visual-search tool in its shopping tab that could put more pressure on Google. A May analyst report said TikTok may be "the most imminent threat to Google's Search dominance." TikTok is testing a new visual-search tool within its shopping feature that could dial up the pressure on search-giant Google. The short-video app has already become a go-to search engine for Gen Zers looking for restaurants or how to do things, threatening Google's search dominance. "Younger Gen Z users don't have the baggage and memory of opening the browser and searching on Google," he continued.
Persons: Zers, TikTok, Bernstein, Mark Shmulik, ChatGPT, Shmulik, They're, Z, Yelp, Morgan Stanley Organizations: Google, Tech, YouTube, Bloomberg Locations: Asia, TikTok
Amazon remains dominant in e-commerce and cloud computing with Amazon Web Services. "But what we've seen recently is a company simply pursuing too many ideas, with weaker ideas taking away the oxygen, capital, and most importantly focus from the truly disruptive initiatives that 'only Amazon can do.'" Amazon shares are up 50% year to date, but they've underperformed top peers by about 52% over a five-year period, he said. Amazon should "divest, seek outside funding, or trim spend" in health care and its nascent low Earth orbit satellite venture, called Project Kuiper, Shmulik wrote. He pointed to Amazon's multiyear effort to break into health care, before abandoning efforts like its Care telehealth service, Halo health and fitness band, and a joint health-care venture called Haven.
Persons: Bernstein, Andy Jassy, Mark Shmulik, , Google —, Shmulik, Jeff Bezos, Jassy, Bezos, irrelevance Organizations: Amazon Web, Microsoft, Google, Amazon Locations: New York, Haven
Market Movers rounded up the best reactions from investors and analysts on Amazon . The experts, including Jim Cramer , discussed the e-commerce giant after its stock fell 4.3% following an "open letter" from Bernstein analysts to Amazon CEO Andy Jassy and the company's board. The analysts behind the letter included Mark Shmulik, who appeared on CNBC on Wednesday. He said Amazon is pursuing "too many ideas" and needs to focus on what it does best. Still, Shmulik said he is bullish on Amazon's stock and made it his top pick.
Persons: Jim Cramer, Bernstein, Andy Jassy, Mark Shmulik, Shmulik Organizations: Amazon, CNBC, Charitable
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailAmazon stock dips after Bernstein analysts pen "open letter" to CEO. Here's what the pros sayJim Cramer, Mark Shmulik of Bernstein Research, and Quint Tatro of Joule Financial on what they think about Amazon stock after Bernstein analysts wrote an "open letter" to CEO Andy Jassy and the board.
Persons: Bernstein, Jim Cramer, Mark Shmulik, Quint Tatro, Andy Jassy Organizations: Bernstein Research, Joule
Bernstein, one of the top Wall Street research firms, wrote an open letter to Amazon's leadership. Jassy wrote in the letter that the company is optimistic about grocery, satellite internet, international businesses, and healthcare services. Bernstein wrote. Bernstein wrote. Investor communications win investor trust: Amazon's leadership should cut down on the rhetoric and share more specifics with investors.
Persons: Bernstein, you'd, Andy Jassy, Mark Shmulik, Amazon's, Jassy, There's, Eugene Kim Organizations: Amazon, Healthcare, Whole, Amazon Media, Alexa, Investor Locations: Amazon, Brazil, Mexico, Singapore, India
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